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Kambi Share Price Warning - KAMBI:FN Stockholm Stock Quote - Kambi Group PLC
I found this on a computer i just bought from a stock trader in Stockholm, detailed research, perhaps i should short this one. And for all of you who are concerned - it is all public info, this guy just did the math:
Kambi
Share Price History On the 8th of June 2014 Kambi closed trading at 35.40SEK. In a period of 6 months the share price rose dramatically from 52.50SEK on the 8th of October 2015 to 152.00SEK on the 17th of April 2016. From July 2016 up until July 2018 the share price was in decline and closed trading on the 23rd of July at 67.50SEK. Throughout 2018 and the beginning of 2019 the price continued to rise and closed on the 28th of October at a price of 250SEK. Since that massive peak the price has been dropping (with some small peaks along the way) and closed on the 1st of September at 165.00SEK.1 Analysis
2016
The peak from the beginning of October 2016 was due in part to the agreement between Kambi & Novomatic.2
2017
In 2017 there was a constant decline in the share price even though deals were reached with 888 holdings3, 77774 and a renewal with LeoVegas5, seemingly this was due to the big drop in profits (from 1.8m to 100k€) in Q2 in 2017.6
2018
The ongoing raise between July 2018 and the beginning of 2019 is in part due to deals closed with Draftkings7, Global Gaming 5558, White hat gaming9, Parx10, and Kindred11.
2019
On the 21st of July Kambi’s share price was at its lowest in recent times at 130SEK, this seems to be in direct response to the news that DraftKings are looking to drop Kambi12.
Once a renewal was achieved with DraftKings13 the share price jumped up to 167SEK.
Kambi’s deal with Novomatic up to date is entirely functional and they haven’t signed any deals as a conjoined team, leading to believe that the peak in share price in 2016 was unfulfilled and incorrect.
2. Luckia left Kambi back in 2016, quoting ‘the new platform will provide a range of benefits to Luckia, including greater operational flexibility and improved price differentiation. It will also enable the operator to offer unique odds, set its own betting limits and payouts, customise content and marketing, and manage its sportsbook liability in real time15.
3. 888 Holdings in early 2019 purchased BetBright with a very clear vision of leaving Kambi and very recently announced that they will be in the near future using their own sportsbook.16
4. Draftkings are looking to close to deal in buying out SBTech which would point to them dropping Kambi, this is despite them renewing a deal with Kambi17.
5. Inside reports from a reliable source in R Franco have told our research team that they are in the process of leaving Kambi and signing with another major supplier.
Kindred powered by Kambi have been placed on the blacklist in Switzerland18, pointing to illegal activity (Kindred are in deeply linked with Kambi - Kambi is B2B subsidiary of UniBet which is the original name of Kindred)19
Summary Looking at the final Quarter of 2019 and the beginning of 2020 the future doesn’t look bright for Kambi. Two of their biggest genuine clients (ignoring their spinoff Unibet) - DraftKings & 888 Holdings are poised to quit, and add to the mix our reports that R Franco are looking to leave Kambi. These moves indicate that Kambi are a product big customers’ are afraid to rely on. In addition we see in other news that that they aren’t as squeaky clean as they proclaim they are. Since Kambi is a company which its value is solely based on PR and clients, we strongly believe based on our extensive research, contrary to popular belief Kambi’s value is going to drop and its share price will be trading below 100SEK in the near future and continue to drop. If they lose Draftkings and 888 Holdings they will struggle to recover, as Draftkings is their main ticket into the United States. Advice Based on the analysis and predictions, our advice to our in-house brokers and advisors is to recommend selling Kambi shares and not to purchase. On the bright side, long term investors have earned tremendously from recent growth. 18 https://www.casinonewsdaily.com/2019/09/04/bet365-unibet-and-1xbet-domains-blacklisted-in-switzerland/ 19 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kindred_Group
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